Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaur Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• On their second serve, Carlos Alcaraz has slightly outperformed Alex de Minaur in recent months, suggesting a minor edge with a win rate of 46.44% compared to de Minaur's 46.13%.
• Who is stronger in return games? Alex de Minaur leads with better return stats, having won 43.41% of his opponent's second serve points over Alcaraz’s 41.70%.
• For first serve return points, Carlos Alcaraz is marginally ahead, indicating a slight advantage with 24.35% compared to Alex de Minaur’s 23.56%.
• Under pressure, Alex de Minaur has a slight defensive edge, saving 55.52% of breakpoints faced, as opposed to Alcaraz's 54.68%.
• Looking at overall performance in the last year, Carlos Alcaraz has clearly been the superior player with an 87.34% match win rate, while Alex de Minaur's record stands at 0% in official matches.
• Carlos Alcaraz shows his best form on grass courts with a strong 90% win rate, showcasing his versatility.
• The players have clashed four times, with Alcaraz dominating the head-to-head by winning all four encounters and eight out of ten sets.
• Their last meeting at the Barcelona Open saw Alcaraz emerging victorious in a straightforward 7-5, 6-3 win. How does this reflect on their prospects for the current match?
• In terms of opponent quality, Alcaraz has played against higher-ranked competitors over the past year, indicating his experience against tougher opponents.
• When matches reach a deciding set, Carlos Alcaraz has demonstrated resilience, winning 79% of such sets, unlike de Minaur, who hasn't secured a deciding set win in the past year.
• Despite past performance importance, analyzing current form and event specifics is crucial for predicting match outcomes accurately.

Editorial Prediction (November 9, 2025, UTC):

Carlos Alcaraz enters this match with a pronounced edge, given his consistent performance across various metrics. His slightly superior second serve success and recent resilience in deciding sets underline his strengths.

With a spotless record in direct encounters against Alex de Minaur, it is clear Alcaraz knows how to navigate and exploit his opponent’s weaknesses effectively.

Though Alex de Minaur's return game presents a challenge, Alcaraz’s comprehensive skill set and experience against top-tier opponents suggest he is well-prepared for this challenge.

Overall, considering the players' past encounters and current statistics, Carlos Alcaraz is favored to secure another victory in this upcoming matchup.